Recent posts by Aapje on Kongregate

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Topic: Get Connected / Looking for new Syndicate members

YSI are looking for active players:

http://www.kongregate.com/games/kanoapps/mob-wars-la-cosa-nostra/?kv_kac=factions&kv_kam=profile&kv_kap1=10394&kv_language=en

 
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Topic: Dream World / KoD broken? (working now)

It works today.

 
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Topic: Dream World / Official Bug Reports Thread (new)

It works today.

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [OFF-TOPIC] World Cup 2014 (GIF Edition)

Not really, how do you ever fly into the air like that? He is clearly jumping up.

 
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Topic: Dream World / Official Bug Reports Thread (new)

King of Duels didn’t give 20 new fights today. Not that I really care.

 
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Topic: General / 3 turns in roulette???

Already mentioned here:

http://www.kongregate.com/forums/254-contract-wars/topics/409986-game-update-vers-1-4507

 
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Topic: General / 1 SP?

Originally posted by azurerogue:

sw2012, your logic/math are so off I don’t know where to begin…

Wait, yes I do. With the coins, your chance of getting two identical tosses in a row is 1/2*1/2 = 1/4… but you think it’s 1/2. That’s just factually inaccurate.

1/4 is the chance to get heads twice (50% chance on the first toss and 50% on the second). The chance to get tails twice is also 1/4. So the chance to get heads or tails twice is indeed 1/2.

Another way to look at it is that the 1st toss doesn’t matter, it only matters that the second toss matches the first. That second toss has 1/2 chance of matching the first toss (no matter what the initial toss was).

The third way to know for sure is just to write out all possibilities:
A B → fail
A A → bingo
B A → fail
B B → bingo

PS. You are correct that the 1/600 chance is nonsense. You can give a 95% confidence interval, but that will be from 0 to something way above 1/600.

 
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Topic: Dream World / 100GEM for you! if you help me

Originally posted by joeyknish:

if i were the argumentative type, i would say:

- dw isn’t about skill (except maybe mad keyboard skillz?!), it’s about grinding. grind more.
- if the card game was based around luck, everyone would complain x1000
- skip button
- this is almost universally true/completely normal
- no idea why folks feel entitled to an arena ring, the thing is completely unnecessary, and it’s totally normal for the biggest grinders/spenders to be advantaged.

If I would be the kind of person to respond to this, I would say:

- At least there is some skill/choice in DW. You can pick your class, switch weapons for MW, switch armor to survive bosses, you can choose where to grind. In King of Duels you only have the illusion of choice/skill, by switching around cards, but which pretty much has no effect on the win chance.
- At least the same people wouldn’t be on top every week.
- Frankly I tend to even forget to do my 20 hits 1 day a week. It’s simply so boring that I just forget it exists. Once I get my 1000 wins, I’ll just give up on it completely.
- Sure, but you can grind harder and catch up a bit in regular DW. With the level capped at 102 you can catch up. I see little chance to catch up in KoD.
- You can get all the other gear/rings by grinding. The Arena ring is just p2win. Not major p2win, but still…

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Ecb Insurance

Mods & devs

 
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Topic: Dream World / 100GEM for you! if you help me

People complain because:
- There is no skill involved
- There is little luck involved
- It is just boring
- The rich get richer
- Special drop that most people will never be able to get when the big spenders keep getting nr 1 week in, week out.

 
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Topic: Dream World / Fallen/Atlantis Bonus question

Quite right.

 
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Topic: Dream World / Card Collectors

4 people shared 1st place. Did they all get the ring?

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [Proposal] Players' Pack

Select a team of 10-20 players that work together to create the next card pack.

I suggest a smaller team that asks for input from the community and does their work in the open on the forum. This forum and this community needs something of substance to sink our teeth into. Having 10-20 people run off and come back with a finalized pack would just make people angry at the elite guys in the team.

How many cards should be in the Players’ Pack?

15 to start with. Enough to make it worth it, but not too many that we start creating crap cards to fill up the pack or unbalance the game. Depending on how that goes we can do more 15 card packs or go for a 30 card pack next.

Are there graphic artists in the community willing to also do the artwork or should this aspect be left to devs?

I suggest we hold a contest after the basic card stats are thought out (but not yet finalized) and give the community a chance, but with no guarantees that the art will be used. If the quality is too low, we might be able to reuse TU art or we can ask the devs nicely to create new art.

What issues/potential problems can you see arising from the release of a Players’ Pack?

  • Forum becomes fun again, instead of a troll fest
  • Tyrant is re-energized
  • Players get less angry at the devs

Seriously though, anything that happens is better than the current stagnation.

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [Proposal] Players' Pack

Originally posted by ralkkdillon:

Rough draft idea: After the upgrade pack is released, select a team of 10-20 players that work together to create the next card pack. Submit the xml to devs for approval and release.

I already posted this idea earlier on the forum, so yes, I think this is a good idea. From the ‘Things that don’t make sense’ thread:

Originally posted by Aapje:

3) Devs don’t ask us to design a new balanced set, to keep us off their backs.

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [Dev] New Update

Also, tournaments mean cheating…so boycott them.

 
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Topic: General / Every Single time attacked

Originally posted by diablothedragon:

thats why i never joined a syndicate becuase i don’t want to have to play 24/7 to gain one level.

You can join a syndicate that does not join in those kind of Syndicate Wars. Strangely enough there is another kind of Syndicate War that has the same name, but is quite different. There the syndicate as a whole has health and you can attack other syndicates or heal your own. The attacks there aren’t real attacks, so they don’t cost you health or kill you.

 
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Topic: Faction Recruitment / Pwnersaurus Rex: Competitive, upper-tier faction seeking interesting, active, articulate players

And we just made level 20.

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Automatic deck optimization

This is what I ran:

tyrant_optimize.exe “T0-EDLh-CtLh+i-ED-AM-ED-AM-ED” “Epic Blightbloom” -r sim 1000000 -t 2

The deck is the top deck on the raid page: http://tyrant.40in.net/kg/raid.php?id=23#sdecks:did=24489

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Automatic deck optimization

Thanks, I was waiting for someone who was willing to do this.

Edit: hmm, not getting the expected results for my Epic Blightbloom deck. For 2 separate 1M sim runs I get 247.487 and 247.485 ARD. Simtyrant gives 248.7123 ARD.

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Automatic deck optimization

You need to wait for an updated version to come out and then download it. It’s not a bug in the data files.

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [to Stots or other kong mods/admins] your help is require

Originally posted by Stots:

The real problem with posting accusation threads is it distracts people from the appropriate and ineffective means of reporting abuse – filing reports, contacting devs etc.

Fixed that for you.

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Haileon future

Thanks for all the hard work. The game is truly dying when the support tools are no longer maintained. I hope sss1 doesn’t stop too.

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [DEV] Epic Blightbloom Released

Originally posted by mrmastermonster:

Simming that on 1mil, I’m getting 247.5 ard, and I’m getting marginally better results with order: MT, RO, Primus, RO, MT, RO, TCB, MT, MT, TCB

Did you sim with simtyrant or the optimizer? Simtyrant consistently gives better results, which seems to be due to the known bug in the optimizer. So I would trust the simtyrant results only.

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Automatic deck optimization

Yes. Unfortunately you can now see the result for the new raid. The simtyrant results are consistently higher than the optimizer results. Is anyone interested in taking over?

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Quit

Awesome rant. This is how I picture you: