Recent posts by Kaelhula on Kongregate

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Topic: Kongregate Multiplayer Games / [The Grinns Tale] Refined items

According to the devs we have the probabilities to get a refined item. 15% basis + 20 % for each refined item you use to craft. The rest is very simple math.

 
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Topic: Kongregate Multiplayer Games / [The Grinns Tale] Refined items

note that the second process may not be optimal as the results of the 1st craft is known before the second one, but I don’t think it will change a lot of things.

I think the better way to go if you have to craft with 2 refined and 2 non refined in the second process is to begin with the two non refined.
If you got what you want on the first craft, you still have 2 refined and you could craft 2 non refined to go for the 2 times refined + non refined strategy. It should be optimal on average.

 
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Topic: Kongregate Multiplayer Games / [The Grinns Tale] Refined items

with 2 times 1 refined and 1 non refined:

- 0 refined: 42.25%
- 1 refined: 45,5 %
- 2 refined: 12,25%
- at least 1 refined: 57,75%
- refined item on average: 0.70

=> 0,015 difference

 
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Topic: Kongregate Multiplayer Games / [The Grinns Tale] Refined items

My strategy depends on the item recipe and the need for new tier item.

When I reach a new tier, I really need the new tier refined or not so I use wathever I have and pray.

After that, when I try to get new refined item I proceed this way:

Craft previous tier until I got 2 refined.

First process:
Craft new tier with all non-refined but 2, (and pray).

Second process:
If I dont got a new refined item I use the 2 refined then the last 2 non-refined, this process minimize the probability to get 0 refined item (so it maximize to probability to get at least one).

If in the first process you get a refined, the second process doest really matter. Once you have 1 refined of the new tier, you don’t have to maximize the probability to get at least one. I think you should maximize the average number of refined item you will get. Using 2 times 1 refined and 1 non refined is slightly better 2 refined and 2 non refined is slight better but not very significant (~0.005 refined item on average).
Maybe you should try to use 2 refined then 2 non refined, with the same goal as previously, because in fact the probability to get at least 2 refined new tier item is also important if you want to apply the same process for the next tier.

Here are the figure:

with 2* and 2 non *

the probability to get:

- 0 refined: 38.25%
- 1 refined: 55 %
- 2 refined: 6.75 %
- at least 1 refined: 61.75 %
- refined item on average: 0.685

with 2 times 1 refined and 1 non refined:

- 0 refined: 42.25%
- 1 refined: 45 %
- 2 refined: 12 %
- at least 1 refined: 57%
- refined item on average: 0.69

As you can see, If ressources are a problem you should not wait for 2 refined, and craft with wathever you have.
 
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Topic: Kongregate Multiplayer Games / [The Grinns Tale] Daily quests

GUESSSSSS WHAT I GOT TODAY !!?!!!!??

yeah… woodle bundle

 
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Topic: Kongregate Multiplayer Games / [The Grinns Tale] Lv 46

Wait … am I the only one trying to beat lv 46 with t4 gears because my artifacts were missing ?
I have just noticed that T5 are lv37+ and I should be able to upgrade everything…

It seems to explain why I find this game very hard…

 
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Topic: Kongregate Multiplayer Games / [The Grinns Tale] Lv 46

How to deal with thrunks ?
I think I need some fire but I seems very hard to scald them and kill them with the boss doing 100+ dmg on my archer/wizard.

Maybe i’ll need a lot of revive potion ?

 
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Topic: Kongregate Multiplayer Games / [The Grinns Tale] Lv 46

Hey,

Can you help me find a strategy for zincus on lv 46 ?

Thx a lot

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [Dev] Conquest Changes proposal

good idea, but it seems easily counterable with an alt faction…

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [DEV] 11/13/2012 Xeno Domination Special Event!

and +1 for the quests !

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [DEV] 11/13/2012 Xeno Domination Special Event!

Oh new mission ! Oh new rewards !

Nice !

Oh wait ! I have a life !

Pm me with botting program plz

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [Dev] Selling Components for Gold

So… excuse my english please.

Is there any more information about this “trade-in” feature ?

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [Dev] Selling Components for Gold

http://www.kongregate.com/forums/65-tyrant/topics/307472?page=1#posts-6507678

random thing ?

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [Dev] Selling Components for Gold

Why do people still play unbalanced tourneys ?

(I wouldn’t have gone very far with those shitty cards….)

I’ve read something about the possibility to trade cards, when will it be available ?

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [Dev] Selling Components for Gold

I just sold components for 240.000 golds, opened 4 HW, got shield bearer, rotted mortar, deadblow and arms depot…

Yay.

Is it what you call fun ?

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Faction Recruitment Thread

Active Lv 73 with good cards (just got Herc, Heph), but no Wbs, looking for an active faction in tiles wars.

Msg me !

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Faction Recruitment Thread

Active Lv 73 with good cards (just got Herc, Heph), but no Wbs, looking for an active faction in tiles wars.

Msg me !

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Component to gold ratios REVEALED!!! :D

What if these ratios are for selling components only ?

My tought is that it wouldn’t not be logical to have the same ratio for buying & selling. (with the same ratio for buying and selling, it would be pointless to have different components).

Going further, are you sure we will be able to buy components ?

 
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Topic: Kongregate Multiplayer Games / [The Grinns Tale] wooden box ?

where can I find wooden keys ?

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / [DEV] 10/26/2012 Terminus and Halloween 2012 Released!

No awakening pack a week anymore and zarak in the vault…

Coincidence ? I don’t think so

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Faction Recruitment Thread

Active lvl 67 (I only miss herc, hephatat and wb cards) looking for an active faction lv 12 or more.

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Post Active Raid Links Here

fresh jotun

Jotun #15016
Join | Status | Suggested decks

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Post Active Raid Links Here

Jotun #13652
Join | Status | Suggested decks

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Post Active Raid Links Here

Resh new enclave flagship, come and get your Azure Reaper !

 
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Topic: General Tyrant Discussion / Post Active Raid Links Here

Enclave Flagship #13213
Join | Status | Suggested decks