Topic: Kongregate Multiplayer Games /
[Monsters' Den Chronicles] The evade/miss rate is fucked up!
“But here comes Chronicles and something is really bugging me. In most game with a ‘’hit percentage’‘, when you are over 85%, it’s always a hit. With very few exceptions.”
Funny thing about odds like this: the Law of Averages does not exist. Every single attack all game legitimately can miss, and you need a lot more than fifteen incidents to show any significant possibility of something going wrong.
Incidentally, your chance of missing all four times with the given odds is 0.06% (~ 1 in 1607). Unlikely, but not unreasonable as an outlier.
For comparison, your odds of winning the minimum payout on Florida’s regular Lotto game is a little more than 0.19% (~1 in 511). The maximum payout is just barely over 0.0000000099% (exactly 1 in 10,068,347,520).